The Russian response to the rejection of its proposals by NATO and the US has so far been less intemperate than the soft ultimatum itself was. Diplomacy seems likely to continue, at least in the short term. TASS's reporting suggests that diplomacy remains Russia's focus. Reuters also sees a softening of the Russian tone, but that change in tone hasn't involved any retreat from Russia's central demands: no NATO expansion, no deployment of strike weapons near Russia, and a reversion to the Atlantic Alliance's status quo of 1997. Those are substantially the demands Russia made during the Geneva talks, and neither NATO nor the US are likely to accede to them.
The US has called for a meeting of the United Nations Security Council on Monday, where the US intends to confront Russia over its preparations to invade Ukraine. The Wall Street Journal reports that the US probably has sufficient support among the Council members to bring the meeting about.
The BBC reports that Britain's National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) has (like others among the Five Eyes, notably Canada and the US) renewed warnings to businesses in the UK that they should be on alert for Russian cyberattacks during the present period of heightened tension. The Danish Defense Intelligence Service has also warned of the prospect of Russian cyberattack, and it's focused on the maritime sector. Shipping Watch notes that the Danish shipping giant Maersk was particularly hard-hit by NotPetya.
The US regards widespread Russian influence operations to continue, and Washington, the AP reports, has been unusually open and forthcoming about "naming and shaming" the influence operators and their products.
US President Biden yesterday told his Ukrainian counterpart, President Zelenskyy, that a Russian invasion next month was "a distinct possibility." For its part, Ukraine regards the situation as grave, but also as not inevitably leading to war. The Military Times quotes a Ukrainian military assessment to the effect that “By now, the Russian military contingent near the Ukrainian border is insufficient to carry out a large-scale armed aggression against Ukraine. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are ready to protect Ukrainian territory and the Ukrainian population.” Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov also took a slightly softer tone. "If it depends on Russia, then there will be no war," he said. "We don't want wars. But we also won't allow our interests to be rudely trampled, to be ignored."
The CyberWire's continuing coverage of the crisis in Ukraine may be found here.