Russia's flagging invasion thought likely to induce widespread cyberattacks.
Russian ground forces are digging in where they've halted along most of their axes of advance, especially in the approaches to Kyiv, which suggests that the invasion continues to stall. On Saturday Ukrainian President Zelensky called upon Russia to engage in "meaningful" peace talks," but such talks have yet to develop. Ukrainian forces have begun to push Russian forces out of the Kyiv suburbs they'd occupied. Russian forces in Ukraine continue their practice of using long-range weapons against civilian targets in an attempt to compensate for close-combat failure. Estimates of Russian casualties continue to rise. NATO estimates Russian combat deaths at between 7000 and 15, 000, up from US estimates offered earlier this week.
President Biden on Monday issued a general warning to US organizations that intelligence suggests a coming Russian cyber campaign: "This is a critical moment to accelerate our work to improve domestic cybersecurity and bolster our national resilience. I have previously warned about the potential that Russia could conduct malicious cyber activity against the United States, including as a response to the unprecedented economic costs we’ve imposed on Russia alongside our allies and partners. It’s part of Russia’s playbook. Today, my Administration is reiterating those warnings based on evolving intelligence that the Russian Government is exploring options for potential cyberattacks." An accompanying fact sheet stresses the importance of familiar best practices and offers an aspirational set of longer-range policy prescriptions.
A brief statement from the US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency indicated that CISA would "rapidly share information and mitigation guidance" to help organizations, large and small, protect their systems. The Department of Homeland Security added, "Organizations can visit CISA.gov/Shields-Up for best practices on how to protect their networks, and they should report anomalous cyber activity and/or cyber incidents to firstname.lastname@example.org or (888) 282-0870, or to an FBI field office."
Russia says they won't stoop to cyberattacks. NBC News quotes Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov: "The Russian Federation, unlike many Western countries, including the United States, does not engage in state-level banditry." Most others are not so sure, especially since they've already used cyberattacks locally against Ukrainian targets.