Infosec teams assessment: An essential tactic for risk forecasting.

Show Notes

After five years of study, Rick Howard (The Cyberwire’s Chief Analyst, CSO, and Senior Fellow) has decided that calculating cyber risk does not have to involve higher order math like Monte Carlo Simulations and Bayesian algorithms. Instead, it is much more useful to use Fermi estimates to get quick but rough estimates that will likely be in the ballpark in terms of orders of magnitude so that senior leaders can make resource decisions. In this episode, Rick discusses the book that got him there, “Superforecasting” by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner.

For a complete reading list and even more information, check out Rick’s more detailed essay on the topic.

HOST(S):

Rick Howard is the CSO of N2K and the Chief Analyst, and Senior Fellow at the N2K Cyber, formerly CyberWire. His past lives include CSO at Palo Alto Networks, CISO at TASC, the GM at Verisign/iDefense, the Counterpane SOC Director, and the Commander of the Army's Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT). Rick served 25 years in the Army, taught computer science at West Point, edited two books and just published his own book, "Cybersecurity First Principles: A Reboot of Strategy and Tactics" and he is regularly joined at the N2K Cyber's Hash Table by a collection of industry experts.

Schedule: Mondays (in season)

Credits: Edited by John Petrik and executive produced by Peter Kilpe. Our theme song is by Blue Dot Sessions, remixed by the insanely talented Elliott Peltzman, who also does the show's mixing, sound, and original score

Creator: CyberWire, Inc.